蒲松龄

A |     The cell phones, tablets, and laptops left behind by veterans who died by suicide may offer insight that could help prevent future military suicides, according to a nonprofit dedicated to analyzing the data from the devices.Stop Soldier Suicide collects the technology as part of its initiative, "The Black Box Project," which is named after the black boxes found on planes that help determine the cause of aviation incidents."If we could gather novel data from those that have died by suicide, we might be able to recreate the last year of life," Stop Soldier Suicide CEO Chris Ford told ABC News.Veterans are 57% more at risk for suicide than non-military adults and around 6,000 veterans die by suicide each year, according to the Department of Veterans Affairs."I think we can prevent needless suffering and a ton of loss of life," Ford said.That kind of loss is something David McDaniel, whose son Connor died by suicide at the age of 26, knows all too well.Connor McDaniel joined the Army after high school, and, according to David, he appeared upbeat during his deployment to Afghanistan, where he was assigned to protect local villages from the Taliban."Some of his Army buddies told me that he was making them laugh while they were being shelled in Afghanistan," David McDaniel told ABC News.But it wasn't long after Connor came home that David McDaniel says he sensed a shift in his son's behavior to include "more anger, a lot of frustration, a lot of gloominess."On Sept. 1, 2021, David says his son entered a wooded area with a firearm."I start screaming his name as I'm walking up the field. And just then the police, the sheriff's department shows up and they tell me to come back down," McDaniel said.He followed their direction, but on the car ride home, an officer called him and said Connor was dead after he fired upon sheriff's deputies and the deputies returned fire and killed him.Connor's death was determined to be a suicide. The district attorney's office concluded that the officers' actions were justified.While grappling with his son's death, David McDaniel was immediately drawn to the Black Box Project, which uses forensic software to unlock and comb through service members' devices provided by their loved ones to review their activity in the weeks leading up to their suicides.McDaniel works in the tech field and says if the project can find repeated patterns in online searches, they may be able to help others to prevent suicides.For instance, McDaniel says his son searched for SGLI, Servicemembers' Group Life Insurance, before his death. If a veteran were to make a similar search and look up "suicide" in the future, for example, McDaniel suggests it could trigger an ad for Stop Soldier Suicide to pop up and provide resources in the search results.Ford says the nonprofit uses machine learning, a subfield of artificial intelligence, to analyze texts and notes in order to determine sentiment or emotional tone, such as anger or desperation. He says they can also track phone usage of the deceased veterans to monitor their past sleep cycles and trace their past geo-locations."Machines can go through computations a lot faster than humans, and they can find signals that we often miss," Ford said.Since launching the Black Box Project in April 2020, Stop Soldier Suicide has received over 100 devices, Ford said. So far, he says they're seeing three patterns before most of these suicides: more anger, different sleep patterns, and social isolation.Ford's team includes Ph.D.s in clinical psychology and suicide researchers. A scientific advisory committee helps steer where and what to look for on the devices.The findings are still preliminary, according to the nonprofit, but one goal is to help the organization decide where, when, and how to target their own mental health resources, like adding more hotline staff at certain hours and ensuring calls are picked up overnight.When asked about privacy concerns of collecting data, Ford said it's something they think about daily."We don't resell the data. We don't push it out to others. We use it for our own research purposes so that we can best understand risk and then give those devices back to those families intact," Ford said.Current privacy laws do not carry on past death, meaning the next of kin typically gains new authority.Petra Oxford-Jackson, whose veteran husband Anthony died by suicide, says she gave his phone to the organization with the possibility it could save even one life."I truly believe he would have been okay with it, and it's a hard thing for a survivor to give up something so personal as his cell phone," Oxford-Jackson told ABC News.The Black Box Project received $3 million in funding from the Department of Veterans Affairs earlier this year.If you are struggling with thoughts of suicide or worried about a friend or loved one, call or text the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline at 988 for free, confidential emotional support 24 hours a day, seven days a week.。    本文来自微信公众号：国民经略 （ID：guominjinglve），作者：凯风，题图来自：AI生成                    涨工资，开始落地。                   01                    最低工资标准，全面普涨。                   近日，人社部发布最新各省份最低工资标准，各省“第一档”最低工资，首次全面站上2000元大关。                             与去年相比，最低工资迎来普遍上涨，多省涨幅超过10%，与高层关于“合理提高最低工资标准”的要求相一致。                   虽然集体上调，但发展阶段不同、企业成本有别，最低工资标准存在一定差距。                   即使一省之内，也按照城市发展形势，分出一二三四档，第一档涵盖省会和经济强市。

B |                    从“第一档”来看，上海、北京、天津、广东、江苏、浙江、山东位居前列。                   上海以2740元蝉联榜首，北京、天津、广东均超2500元，江苏、浙江为2490元，山东为2400元。                   这7个省份均为东部经济大省，既是人均GDP最高的省份，也是财政转移支付的净贡献者。

C |                    与之对比，全国还有6省最低工资不足2100元，包括甘肃、青海、新疆、黑龙江、江西、海南。                   令人意外的是，“垫底”的不是人均GDP倒数第一的甘肃，而是中部的江西。                             其实，这是统计时差所致。                   江西最低工资标准仍停留于2024年，今年最新版本正在征求意见。

D |                    根据意见稿，江西一类区域最低工资将由2000元调整到2240元，将于12月初开始实施。                   可见，江西最低工资涨幅也超10%，处于中游水平，与其经济实力相称。                   02                    最低工资，为何突然大范围上涨？                    日前，中办、国办联合发文强调，“完善最低工资标准调整机制，合理提高最低工资标准”。                             就在年初，国家发改委在相关报告中明确，“适当加快提高最低工资标准，2025年原则上所有省份都要调整”。

E |                    根据规定，最低工资标准，一般2年左右调整一次。                   然而，个别省份已经连续3～4年未有动作，最低工资仍停留于几年前水平。                   事实上，这一轮要调整的不只是最低工资标准，还有更广义的“涨工资”。                   今年5月，中办、国办在关于“现代企业制度”的文件提出，推动企业健全工资合理增长机制。

F |                              此前，中办、国办印发促消费文件，将“城乡居民增收促进行动”置于各大政策之首。                   在年初的国常会上，明确提及“大力支持居民增收，促进工资性收入合理增长”……                    层级之高、文件之密集、定调之鲜明，足见“涨工资”已成为自上而下的共识。

G |                    之所以聚焦于工资，是因为在我国，工资性收入占居民收入60%左右，是绝大多数人唯一收入来源。                   当然，工资不是想涨就能涨。                   政策能决定的只是最低工资，给出的只是建议性的工资指导线。                   对于普通人来说，工资能否上涨，取决于供求关系，更取决于经济形势和宏观大环境。

H |                    即使如此，最低工资普涨，仍然释放出难得的积极信号。                   毕竟，最低工资，不只与弱势群体有关，还关乎失业保险金、病假工资、工资指导线等标准的制定。                   更关键的是，“下限”抬升，有望形成逐级传导效应，对于所有劳动者都不是坏事。                   03                    “涨工资”，为何越来越重要了？                    长期以来，“涨工资”被视为企业与个体之事，对于个人当然很重要。                   今年一系列文件出台，标志着“涨工资”，已上升到国之大事、民之大事的高度。                   “涨工资”关乎的不只是民生，更是扩大消费、刺激生育、打破通缩、重塑预期乃至长远发展的大局。                   这从顶层文件的涵盖范围就可见一斑：“改善民生”、“提振消费”，“建立现代企业制度”等等。

I |                    消费是收入的函数，没有收入增长作为根本支撑，提振消费、刺激内需就无从着手。                   一个可喜的变化是，今年从上到下的促消费文件，不再简单着眼于发券，而将“增收”放在了首位。                   生育同样受到“收入预期”与“养育成本”的双重拉扯，增收与减负缺一不可。                   更为可喜的变化是，今年9月，倡议多年的育儿补贴终于落地，直达个人账户。                   用官方的话说，这是新中国成立以来首次大范围、普惠式、直接性向群众发放真金白银，意义不容低估。                   其实，涨工资不局限于直接增收，减负本身也是增收。

J |                    提高农民的养老金、减轻中产的个税负担、推进学前教育免费……都可视为广义上的“涨工资”。                   只要收入能保持增长，每个人都有对于未来的增长预期，消费意愿的提升、生产-消费循环的畅通都不在话下。                   从“投资于物”到“投资于人”，这场大变局才刚刚开始。